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Red266
6133119.8
4378114.9
418154.2
Blue286
1817132.2
4183162.5
7059128.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793030100200400500600700800266286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#27
154.20.2
153.6153.9
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
blue by 8.3
162.50.7
149.1149.8
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
Second
6133
#17
119.80.3
116.9117.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.6
End17.2
blue by 12.4
1817
#10DQ
132.20.8
121.2122.1
Auto16.0
Teleop101.7
End17.8
Third
4378
#16
114.912.2
76.188.3
Auto13.8
Teleop90.3
End8.5
blue by 13.3
7059
#24
128.20.2
130.5130.6
Auto17.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed