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Red287
4183162.5
3366119.4
6200148.6
Blue457
3310206.8
3029115.8
2468174.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273410100200500600700287457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.51.2
157.1158.3
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
blue by 44.3
206.80.9
207.3206.4
Auto27.2
Teleop154.1
End21.7
Second
148.61.5
142.6144.2
Auto18.0
Teleop111.9
End19.4
blue by 25.6
174.20.9
171.8172.7
Auto25.9
Teleop127.1
End22.2
Third
3366
#36
119.40.7
121.8121.1
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 3.6
3029
#34
115.81.4
112.1113.6
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned