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Red158
5344104.8
418154.2
2583110.7
Blue254
3335131.1
6974106.8
683293.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052380100200400500600158254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#27
154.21.0
153.0154.0
Auto19.7
Teleop130.8
End4.3
red by 23.1
3335
#14
131.11.7
126.8128.5
Auto15.9
Teleop106.3
End10.1
Second
2583
#33
110.71.7
107.4109.1
Auto16.3
Teleop85.1
End11.5
red by 3.9
6974
#30
106.80.9
105.0105.9
Auto16.2
Teleop86.9
End1.9
Third
5344
#32
104.81.9
100.2102.1
Auto14.3
Teleop81.5
End8.2
red by 11.3
6832
#12
93.60.3
92.693.0
Auto14.8
Teleop76.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed