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Red263
3481151.9
5866113.1
3366119.4
Blue324
5242149.1
6974106.8
4378114.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291292270280300310320263324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.91.8
147.8149.6
Auto18.7
Teleop117.9
End18.6
red by 2.9
149.11.6
146.1147.6
Auto18.5
Teleop109.0
End20.2
Second
3366
#36
119.41.1
120.5119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop89.9
End13.7
red by 4.5
4378
#16
114.90.5
115.4114.9
Auto13.8
Teleop90.3
End8.5
Third
5866
#35
113.10.3
113.4113.1
Auto12.5
Teleop93.3
End7.4
red by 6.3
6974
#30
106.80.3
106.1106.4
Auto16.2
Teleop86.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed