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Red297
6200148.6
6377136.3
6682127.3
Blue376
6171122.7
4183162.5
4735125.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322326200250300350400450297376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.61.9
145.4147.3
Auto18.0
Teleop111.9
End19.4
blue by 13.9
162.51.1
159.1160.3
Auto25.5
Teleop121.8
End15.2
Second
6377
#18
136.30.5
135.8136.2
Auto15.7
Teleop103.3
End16.4
red by 11.3
4735
#11
125.10.8
123.1123.9
Auto15.5
Teleop93.1
End15.0
Third
6682
#21
127.30.2
127.0127.3
Auto15.9
Teleop95.9
End14.8
red by 4.6
6171
#20
122.70.3
121.5121.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed