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Red466
4587170.3
1477173.1
6377131.6
Blue180
5417142.1
7179159.7
5908118.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379282200500600466180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.10.8
172.3173.1
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
red by 13.5
159.70.4
159.2159.7
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
Second
170.30.4
169.9170.3
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
red by 28.2
142.10.2
141.9142.1
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
Third
6377
#37
131.60.1
131.4131.6
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
red by 12.7
5908
#19
118.90.4
118.4118.9
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3