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Red321
4587170.3
1477173.1
6377131.6
Blue250
5417142.1
7179159.7
5908118.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380286200500600321250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.10.9
171.5172.3
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
red by 13.5
159.70.5
158.7159.2
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
Second
170.30.4
169.5169.9
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
red by 28.2
142.10.3
141.6141.9
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
Third
6377
#37
131.60.2
131.3131.4
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
red by 12.7
5908
#19
118.90.5
117.9118.4
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3