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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red335
3847136.8
5427156.4
5892131.6
Blue249
6321120.1
5986143.9
3335125.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336274150200250300400450500335249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#4
156.40.3
155.5→155.8
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
red by 12.5
5986
#8
143.90.2
144.1→143.9
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
Second
3847
#11
136.80.0
136.7→136.7
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
red by 11.5
3335
#24
125.30.2
125.1→125.3
Auto15.9
Teleop102.3
End6.3
Third
5892
#17
131.60.5
130.1→130.6
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
red by 11.5
6321
#12
120.10.0
120.1→120.1
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3