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Red443
3847136.8
5427156.4
5892131.6
Blue161
6321120.1
5986143.9
3335125.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327283100200400500443161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.40.2
155.3155.5
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
red by 12.5
143.90.1
144.3144.1
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
Second
3847
#11
136.80.1
136.9136.7
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
red by 11.5
3335
#24
125.30.3
124.8125.1
Auto15.9
Teleop102.3
End6.3
Third
5892
#17
131.60.4
129.7130.1
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
red by 11.5
6321
#12
120.10.1
120.1120.1
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3