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Red392
457110.7
192152.7
1477173.1
Blue126
5908118.9
711589.3
5414133.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3472380100200300400500392126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.10.2
136.6136.8
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
red by 40.1
5414
#14
133.015.6
78.193.7
Auto19.2
Teleop102.3
End13.6
Second
192
#10
152.70.9
150.4151.3
Auto22.8
Teleop115.7
End13.7
red by 33.9
5908
#19
118.915.8
76.692.4
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
Third
457
#29
110.715.5
79.594.9
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End4.6
red by 21.5
7115
#40
89.311.5
89.377.7
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed