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Red289
231140.1
3735133.0
295098.3
Blue362
3847136.8
5829120.0
3676126.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317270100200400500600289362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#22
140.112.9
103.6116.5
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
red by 3.4
3847
#11
136.813.8
94.8108.6
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
Second
3735
#18
133.014.0
92.4106.5
Auto12.0
Teleop107.6
End14.7
red by 6.5
126.51.8
120.5118.7
Auto19.3
Teleop82.9
End27.6
Third
2950
#36
98.315.4
79.795.1
Auto14.2
Teleop75.6
End9.1
blue by 21.7
5829
#26
120.014.8
85.6100.4
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed