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Qual 32018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red277
6951121.8
4587170.3
653104.6
Blue137
3728101.5
4328123.4
5261115.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29724850100150200350400450277137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#2
170.312.3
108.6→121.0
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
red by 46.9
4328
#27
123.416.6
69.5→86.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.9
End11.3
Second
6951
#5
121.844.1
121.8→77.7
Auto14.3
Teleop96.6
End13.8
red by 6.2
5261
#21
115.617.1
64.4→81.5
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
Third
653
#34
104.617.7
59.5→77.2
Auto12.8
Teleop79.3
End13.2
red by 3.1
3728
#30
101.517.7
59.1→76.8
Auto15.5
Teleop79.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed