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Red77
3999144.4
5892131.6
429598.8
Blue415
6321120.1
5986143.9
7179159.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28528110015020025035040045077415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.414.9
84.699.5
Auto20.8
Teleop106.7
End19.1
blue by 15.2
159.72.5
135.6138.1
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
Second
5892
#17
131.614.5
87.9102.4
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
blue by 12.3
143.915.5
78.994.4
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
Third
4295
#32
98.816.8
67.884.5
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
blue by 21.3
6321
#12
120.12.0
104.1106.1
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed