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Qual 102018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red279
6377131.6
6547106.2
192152.7
Blue239
2587146.9
231140.1
6754111.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412590100200300400500600279239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#10
152.72.3
151.3→153.5
Auto22.8
Teleop115.7
End13.7
red by 5.9
2587
#13
146.97.7
109.5→117.2
Auto20.1
Teleop112.6
End15.7
Second
6377
#37
131.610.9
101.0→111.9
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
blue by 8.6
231
#22
140.18.2
116.5→124.7
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
Third
6547
#38
106.25.5
114.1→119.7
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End11.7
blue by 5.0
6754
#39
111.38.0
84.9→92.9
Auto13.6
Teleop87.6
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed