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Red352
429598.8
441139.7
3735133.0
Blue136
3728101.5
457110.7
3676126.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297252100200400500352136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
#25
139.711.6
92.8104.4
Auto13.4
Teleop110.4
End16.5
red by 13.2
126.50.7
118.7118.0
Auto19.3
Teleop82.9
End27.6
Second
3735
#18
133.09.0
106.5115.4
Auto12.0
Teleop107.6
End14.7
red by 22.3
457
#29
110.713.0
94.9107.9
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End4.6
Third
4295
#32
98.88.4
84.592.9
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
blue by 2.7
3728
#30
101.59.6
76.886.4
Auto15.5
Teleop79.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed