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Red310
5414133.0
6488112.1
3847136.8
Blue301
3335125.3
6377131.6
5417142.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792960100200400500600310301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#11
136.810.2
118.9129.1
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
blue by 5.3
142.11.0
124.5125.5
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
Second
5414
#14
133.02.6
101.6104.2
Auto19.2
Teleop102.3
End13.6
red by 1.4
6377
#37
131.66.4
111.9118.3
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
Third
6488
#23
112.14.6
94.599.2
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
blue by 13.2
3335
#24
125.32.3
108.6110.9
Auto15.9
Teleop102.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed