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Red200
2587146.9
3676126.5
2585117.7
Blue238
6321120.1
4587170.3
3103110.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions228330100200300400500200238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#13
146.95.5
117.2122.7
Auto20.1
Teleop112.6
End15.7
blue by 23.4
170.37.2
129.5136.7
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
Second
126.51.5
118.0116.5
Auto19.3
Teleop82.9
End27.6
red by 6.4
6321
#12
120.13.3
108.7111.9
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
Third
2585
#16
117.73.8
90.394.1
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End18.2
red by 7.6
3103
#31
110.12.6
112.3114.9
Auto15.4
Teleop83.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed