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Qual 242018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red233
5417142.1
5829120.0
6951121.8
Blue101
3735133.0
457110.7
3103110.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683090100200400500600700233101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5417
#6
142.11.1
125.5→126.6
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
red by 9.1
3735
#18
133.02.9
123.1→126.0
Auto12.0
Teleop107.6
End14.7
Second
6951
#5
121.87.4
101.0→108.4
Auto14.3
Teleop96.6
End13.8
red by 11.1
457
#29
110.73.9
114.3→118.3
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End4.6
Third
5829
#26
120.01.6
116.1→117.6
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End13.1
red by 9.9
3103
#31
110.11.3
114.9→116.2
Auto15.4
Teleop83.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed