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Red249
6377131.6
4639131.3
6488112.1
Blue408
1477173.1
672793.0
5908118.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254285100200400500249408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#37
131.65.3
118.3123.6
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
blue by 41.5
173.13.0
141.5144.5
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
Second
4639
#15
131.35.9
107.7113.6
Auto19.3
Teleop93.6
End21.2
red by 12.4
5908
#19
118.90.9
106.1107.0
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
Third
6488
#23
112.14.7
99.2103.9
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
red by 19.1
6727
#20
93.02.1
103.7105.8
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed