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Red189
4328123.4
711589.3
295098.3
Blue203
5261115.6
441139.7
6754111.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2052850100400500189203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#27
123.45.7
103.8109.5
Auto16.2
Teleop97.9
End11.3
blue by 16.3
441
#25
139.75.6
113.9119.4
Auto13.4
Teleop110.4
End16.5
Second
2950
#36
98.30.1
109.2109.2
Auto14.2
Teleop75.6
End9.1
blue by 17.4
5261
#21
115.65.5
95.4100.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
Third
7115
#40
89.30.2
90.590.8
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
blue by 22.0
6754
#39
111.34.1
98.7102.8
Auto13.6
Teleop87.6
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed