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Red405
3103110.1
1477173.1
5427156.4
Blue120
3847136.8
6321120.1
672793.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330267100150200300350400450500405120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173.12.5
144.5147.0
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
red by 36.4
3847
#11
136.87.3
137.7145.0
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
Second
156.46.8
125.2132.0
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
red by 36.3
6321
#12
120.11.7
114.0115.7
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
Third
3103
#31
110.12.1
116.2114.0
Auto15.4
Teleop83.3
End11.2
red by 17.1
6727
#20
93.01.6
105.8107.3
Auto13.7
Teleop75.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed