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Red240
441139.7
5908118.9
3999144.4
Blue295
5829120.0
4639131.3
2881103.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280264200250300350400240295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.44.5
115.4119.9
Auto20.8
Teleop106.7
End19.1
red by 13.1
4639
#15
131.35.1
113.6118.7
Auto19.3
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Second
441
#25
139.74.3
119.4123.7
Auto13.4
Teleop110.4
End16.5
red by 19.7
5829
#26
120.00.1
117.6117.6
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End13.1
Third
5908
#19
118.90.8
107.0107.9
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
red by 15.2
2881
#28
103.71.6
120.5122.1
Auto14.3
Teleop82.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed