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Qual 302018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red232
2585117.7
231140.1
6547106.2
Blue129
711589.3
3728101.5
7179159.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307238100150200350400450500232129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#22
140.14.3
136.9→141.2
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
blue by 19.5
7179
#3
159.71.8
144.7→146.4
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
Second
2585
#16
117.74.9
97.4→102.3
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End18.2
red by 16.2
3728
#30
101.52.4
92.1→94.4
Auto15.5
Teleop79.2
End5.5
Third
6547
#38
106.20.8
124.1→124.9
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End11.7
red by 17.0
7115
#40
89.30.9
90.8→91.7
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed