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Red169
2966106.7
6377131.6
4694102.2
Blue346
3335125.3
4328123.4
4587170.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255328100200300400500169346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#37
131.64.7
123.6128.3
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
blue by 38.7
170.35.0
141.0146.0
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
Second
2966
#33
106.74.3
100.1104.5
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
blue by 18.6
3335
#24
125.32.9
113.4116.2
Auto15.9
Teleop102.3
End6.3
Third
4694
#35
102.23.9
105.4109.4
Auto16.0
Teleop83.7
End0.8
blue by 21.2
4328
#27
123.44.5
109.5114.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed