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Red314
457110.7
5417142.1
5892131.6
Blue283
5261115.6
295098.3
3676126.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296254150200350400450314283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.10.5
126.6127.1
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
red by 15.6
126.50.0
115.8115.8
Auto19.3
Teleop82.9
End27.6
Second
5892
#17
131.62.1
118.5120.6
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
red by 16.0
5261
#21
115.64.1
100.9105.0
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
Third
457
#29
110.70.5
118.3117.8
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End4.6
red by 12.4
2950
#36
98.30.7
109.2109.8
Auto14.2
Teleop75.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed