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Red248
6321120.1
3676126.5
6754111.3
Blue206
4639131.3
457110.7
711589.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2482680100200300400500600700248206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126.50.2
115.8116.0
Auto19.3
Teleop82.9
End27.6
blue by 4.8
4639
#15
131.36.3
118.7125.0
Auto19.3
Teleop93.6
End21.2
Second
6321
#12
120.10.1
115.7115.6
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
red by 9.4
457
#29
110.70.6
117.8118.4
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End4.6
Third
6754
#39
111.32.7
106.2108.9
Auto13.6
Teleop87.6
End12.1
red by 22.0
7115
#40
89.30.1
91.791.6
Auto10.1
Teleop75.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed