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Red334
2585117.7
4587170.3
441139.7
Blue58
5892131.6
192152.7
6488112.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33028710020040050033458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.33.8
146.0149.8
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
red by 17.5
192
#10
152.70.3
158.5158.2
Auto22.8
Teleop115.7
End13.7
Second
441
#25
139.73.6
123.7127.3
Auto13.4
Teleop110.4
End16.5
red by 8.1
5892
#17
131.62.3
120.6122.9
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
Third
2585
#16
117.72.9
102.3105.2
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End18.2
red by 5.7
6488
#23
112.13.4
108.1111.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed