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Red388
3103110.1
5417142.1
5414133.0
Blue185
295098.3
6547106.2
2587146.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2553160100200400500600388185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.10.8
127.1127.8
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
blue by 4.8
2587
#13
146.95.1
132.2137.3
Auto20.1
Teleop112.6
End15.7
Second
5414
#14
133.02.8
110.1112.9
Auto19.2
Teleop102.3
End13.6
red by 26.8
6547
#38
106.20.3
124.9125.2
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End11.7
Third
3103
#31
110.10.5
114.0114.5
Auto15.4
Teleop83.3
End11.2
red by 11.8
2950
#36
98.31.0
109.8110.8
Auto14.2
Teleop75.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed