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Red195
2966106.7
653104.6
3847136.8
Blue341
5908118.9
4694102.2
7179159.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273150100200400500195341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#11
136.81.0
141.3140.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
blue by 22.9
159.71.3
148.9150.2
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
Second
2966
#33
106.70.1
108.1108.0
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
blue by 12.2
5908
#19
118.91.2
111.4112.6
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
Third
653
#34
104.61.1
107.7106.5
Auto12.8
Teleop79.3
End13.2
red by 2.3
4694
#35
102.22.5
110.2107.7
Auto16.0
Teleop83.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed