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Red197
3735133.0
5261115.6
3335125.3
Blue388
1477173.1
3999144.4
3728101.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258307100200400500197388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#18
133.00.8
124.8124.0
Auto12.0
Teleop107.6
End14.7
blue by 40.1
173.12.8
147.0149.8
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
Second
3335
#24
125.32.3
116.2118.5
Auto15.9
Teleop102.3
End6.3
blue by 19.2
144.43.7
119.9123.5
Auto20.8
Teleop106.7
End19.1
Third
5261
#21
115.63.3
105.0108.3
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
red by 14.1
3728
#30
101.51.0
94.495.4
Auto15.5
Teleop79.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed