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Red242
653104.6
3999144.4
6488112.1
Blue363
2585117.7
5892131.6
3735133.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267261200250300350242363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.44.8
123.5128.4
Auto20.8
Teleop106.7
End19.1
red by 11.4
3735
#18
133.02.4
124.0121.5
Auto12.0
Teleop107.6
End14.7
Second
6488
#23
112.11.1
109.4110.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
blue by 19.5
5892
#17
131.62.9
122.9120.0
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
Third
653
#34
104.62.5
102.6105.1
Auto12.8
Teleop79.3
End13.2
blue by 13.1
2585
#16
117.72.6
107.4110.1
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed