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Qual 482018 Lone Star Central Regional
Red166
457110.7
2966106.7
231140.1
Blue364
5986143.9
3847136.8
4328123.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237330100200300400500166364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#22
140.11.3
140.3→139.1
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
blue by 3.8
5986
#8
143.93.8
128.4→132.2
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
Second
457
#29
110.72.6
118.0→115.4
Auto16.4
Teleop86.1
End4.6
blue by 26.0
3847
#11
136.84.3
145.6→141.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
Third
2966
#33
106.72.6
105.3→107.8
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
blue by 16.7
4328
#27
123.42.1
118.7→120.8
Auto16.2
Teleop97.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed