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Red146
6754111.3
6547106.2
4639131.3
Blue398
441139.7
5427156.4
6377131.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288292150200250350400450146398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#15
131.315.4
79.995.3
Auto19.3
Teleop93.6
End21.2
blue by 25.1
156.414.9
84.799.6
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
Second
6754
#39
111.316.7
68.284.9
Auto13.6
Teleop87.6
End12.1
blue by 28.4
441
#25
139.715.7
77.192.8
Auto13.4
Teleop110.4
End16.5
Third
6547
#38
106.213.1
101.0114.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.8
End11.7
blue by 25.3
6377
#37
131.614.7
86.2101.0
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed