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Red222
5986143.9
6488112.1
3103110.1
Blue218
2587146.9
4694102.2
5261115.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302263100200400500222218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.912.4
94.4106.8
Auto16.4
Teleop112.9
End12.4
blue by 2.9
2587
#13
146.913.7
95.8109.5
Auto20.1
Teleop112.6
End15.7
Second
6488
#23
112.116.6
68.885.4
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
blue by 3.6
5261
#21
115.69.2
81.590.7
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
Third
3103
#31
110.114.2
90.6104.8
Auto15.4
Teleop83.3
End11.2
red by 7.9
4694
#35
102.216.0
75.090.9
Auto16.0
Teleop83.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed