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Red313
4587170.3
429598.8
231140.1
Blue171
295098.3
1477173.1
2966106.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309263100200400500313171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.31.6
161.8163.4
Auto26.2
Teleop130.2
End13.5
blue by 2.8
173.13.7
159.3163.0
Auto20.1
Teleop129.9
End26.6
Second
231
#22
140.10.1
137.1137.1
Auto13.1
Teleop113.4
End13.7
red by 33.5
2966
#33
106.70.1
108.0107.8
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End4.6
Third
4295
#32
98.82.8
103.9101.1
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
red by 0.5
2950
#36
98.32.0
103.9101.9
Auto14.2
Teleop75.6
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed