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Red507
7179159.7
5427156.4
3847136.8
Blue161
5417142.1
6488112.1
2585117.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358251100200300400500600507161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.71.1
151.4152.6
Auto18.5
Teleop122.0
End20.0
red by 17.6
142.12.9
133.9136.8
Auto16.2
Teleop114.7
End8.9
Second
156.40.6
150.8151.4
Auto19.6
Teleop119.6
End16.3
red by 38.7
2585
#16
117.73.0
114.4117.4
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End18.2
Third
3847
#11
136.82.2
139.5137.3
Auto21.8
Teleop103.3
End10.1
red by 24.7
6488
#23
112.10.6
111.7112.3
Auto16.2
Teleop85.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed