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Red370
5829120.0
5261115.6
192152.7
Blue202
6377131.6
6321120.1
2585117.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308276100150200250350400450500370202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#10
152.70.1
152.1152.1
Auto22.8
Teleop115.7
End13.7
red by 21.2
6377
#37
131.60.0
130.9130.9
Auto15.8
Teleop100.7
End18.5
Second
5829
#26
120.00.5
120.5120.0
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End13.1
blue by 0.1
6321
#12
120.10.1
119.9120.1
Auto18.7
Teleop92.4
End12.3
Third
5261
#21
115.60.1
115.8115.6
Auto17.3
Teleop91.4
End5.8
blue by 2.1
2585
#16
117.70.7
118.5117.8
Auto15.9
Teleop87.5
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned