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Red216
4328123.4
6754111.3
5892131.6
Blue397
3676126.5
2881103.7
5908118.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692390100200300400216397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#17
131.61.7
128.0129.7
Auto15.4
Teleop101.6
End16.4
red by 5.1
126.51.6
121.5123.0
Auto19.3
Teleop82.9
End27.6
Second
4328
#27
123.41.3
124.7123.4
Auto16.2
Teleop97.9
End11.3
red by 4.5
5908
#19
118.90.2
115.3115.5
Auto16.8
Teleop93.5
End10.3
Third
6754
#39
111.31.4
112.7111.3
Auto13.6
Teleop87.6
End12.1
red by 7.6
2881
#28
103.72.0
105.7103.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed