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Red231
1817121.6
5312119.8
228397.4
Blue127
5783116.1
2657143.9
4610117.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932500100200400500600231127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#25
121.615.0
83.298.2
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7
blue by 22.3
2657
#15
143.917.1
64.681.7
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
Second
5312
#16
119.817.4
61.779.2
Auto16.3
Teleop95.9
End7.1
red by 2.4
4610
#35
117.516.1
73.489.5
Auto15.7
Teleop88.4
End14.2
Third
2283
#34
97.415.5
79.494.9
Auto11.8
Teleop82.4
End1.7
blue by 18.7
5783
#28
116.118.2
54.773.0
Auto14.7
Teleop89.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed