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Red189
4717104.3
5052107.9
7271101.5
Blue145
588898.6
418151.9
4355125.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2363060100200400500600189145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5052
#14
107.916.9
66.783.6
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End3.1
blue by 44.0
418
#8
151.914.1
92.1106.2
Auto19.2
Teleop125.1
End5.8
Second
104.318.3
54.572.8
Auto13.5
Teleop77.5
End13.0
blue by 20.7
4355
#13
125.015.3
81.396.5
Auto18.4
Teleop91.2
End13.8
Third
7271
#20
101.523.7
101.577.7
Auto15.1
Teleop83.0
End1.0
red by 2.9
5888
#37
98.617.7
59.677.3
Auto15.6
Teleop78.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed