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Red471
5572172.8
5613117.8
2657143.9
Blue231
588898.6
4219133.1
3526163.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512940100200400500600700471231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.810.0
95.5105.5
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
red by 8.9
163.90.7
153.8154.5
Auto19.1
Teleop124.0
End20.8
Second
2657
#15
143.99.7
81.791.4
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
red by 10.8
133.112.3
82.694.9
Auto16.3
Teleop95.8
End17.0
Third
5613
#24
117.811.4
86.397.7
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End12.6
red by 19.2
5888
#37
98.69.1
77.386.3
Auto15.6
Teleop78.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed