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Red198
4063137.9
1642102.0
4355125.0
Blue470
5783116.1
1619195.7
5866112.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251266100200300400500198470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#10
137.92.1
118.6120.7
Auto21.5
Teleop102.1
End14.8
blue by 57.7
195.79.0
129.8138.8
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
Second
4355
#13
125.01.8
104.0105.7
Auto18.4
Teleop91.2
End13.8
red by 8.9
5783
#28
116.13.6
83.587.1
Auto14.7
Teleop89.9
End10.4
Third
1642
#33
102.010.3
80.390.6
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End5.2
blue by 10.6
5866
#17
112.74.0
98.5102.5
Auto12.3
Teleop90.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned