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Red354
5312119.8
5052107.9
846160.0
Blue282
6800128.6
4734101.6
4717104.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912020100400500600354282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
160.07.6
117.7125.3
Auto22.5
Teleop122.4
End15.2
red by 31.4
6800
#21
128.69.6
89.098.6
Auto18.8
Teleop98.0
End11.2
Second
5312
#16Sur
119.86.0
90.296.2
Auto16.3
Teleop95.9
End7.1
red by 15.5
4717
#6Sur
104.36.5
84.591.1
Auto13.5
Teleop77.5
End13.0
Third
5052
#14
107.97.3
94.3101.7
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End3.1
red by 6.3
4734
#32
101.64.9
97.5102.4
Auto15.3
Teleop79.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed