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Red261
2158106.2
1817121.6
3679119.4
Blue206
588898.6
5613117.8
2240116.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272259150200300350400261206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#25
121.62.8
107.6110.4
Auto15.7
Teleop95.9
End7.7
red by 3.7
5613
#24Sur
117.88.3
97.7106.0
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End12.6
Second
3679
#31
119.410.1
93.3103.4
Auto15.3
Teleop88.9
End16.0
red by 2.5
2240
#26
116.97.3
102.5109.8
Auto15.7
Teleop86.4
End15.4
Third
2158
#36Sur
106.21.9
111.5113.4
Auto12.5
Teleop84.8
End11.8
red by 7.6
5888
#37
98.65.5
86.391.9
Auto15.6
Teleop78.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed