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Red166
3481135.1
4219133.1
1642102.0
Blue305
418151.9
374391.2
4301102.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268263150200300350400450166305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#11
135.13.3
115.6118.9
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
blue by 16.8
418
#8
151.95.8
112.9118.7
Auto19.2
Teleop125.1
End5.8
Second
133.17.6
94.9102.5
Auto16.3
Teleop95.8
End17.0
red by 30.4
4301
#19
102.76.3
89.796.0
Auto15.5
Teleop82.6
End3.7
Third
1642
#33
102.06.8
90.697.4
Auto17.3
Teleop78.4
End5.2
red by 10.8
3743
#39
91.22.6
97.4100.0
Auto11.0
Teleop71.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed