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Red253
3931156.1
2657143.9
3366131.1
Blue311
1619195.7
6357125.4
3526163.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243850100300500600253311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.15.9
109.9115.8
Auto25.0
Teleop114.2
End18.7
blue by 39.6
195.710.5
138.8149.3
Auto23.8
Teleop134.8
End40.4
Second
2657
#15
143.97.1
91.498.5
Auto18.6
Teleop107.7
End19.4
blue by 20.0
163.90.3
154.5154.8
Auto19.1
Teleop124.0
End20.8
Third
3366
#22
131.19.1
104.8113.9
Auto18.1
Teleop99.6
End13.2
red by 5.8
6357
#23
125.410.9
110.1121.0
Auto14.6
Teleop95.1
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned