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Qual 322018 Hub City Regional
Red406
4364102.2
2359142.3
3481135.1
Blue100
5783116.1
6993111.8
4717104.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512350100200300400500600700406100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#18
142.32.9
121.2→124.1
Auto17.1
Teleop116.1
End7.0
red by 26.2
5783
#28
116.16.9
93.7→100.6
Auto14.7
Teleop89.9
End10.4
Second
3481
#11
135.11.5
120.0→121.5
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
red by 23.3
6993
#29
111.83.9
100.5→104.4
Auto17.2
Teleop85.5
End8.5
Third
4364
#27
102.23.4
101.5→98.1
Auto14.9
Teleop83.0
End7.5
blue by 2.1
4717
#6
104.32.7
96.1→98.7
Auto13.5
Teleop77.5
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed