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Red324
846160.0
4063137.9
4734101.6
Blue286
2240116.9
4610117.5
3526163.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278307100200400500324286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#4
160.03.9
132.5136.5
Auto22.5
Teleop122.4
End15.2
blue by 3.8
163.90.6
154.7155.4
Auto19.1
Teleop124.0
End20.8
Second
4063
#10
137.90.9
122.0122.9
Auto21.5
Teleop102.1
End14.8
red by 20.5
4610
#35
117.54.3
110.2114.6
Auto15.7
Teleop88.4
End14.2
Third
4734
#32
101.60.4
106.3105.9
Auto15.3
Teleop79.5
End3.3
blue by 15.2
2240
#26
116.91.1
115.1116.2
Auto15.7
Teleop86.4
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed