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Red133
5866112.7
5052107.9
6357125.4
Blue370
4799106.2
3481135.1
5572172.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503030100200400500600133370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#23
125.42.1
135.0133.0
Auto14.6
Teleop95.1
End10.3
blue by 47.4
172.85.8
146.0151.8
Auto19.8
Teleop133.0
End24.6
Second
5866
#17
112.72.4
115.9118.3
Auto12.3
Teleop90.8
End5.4
blue by 22.4
3481
#11
135.12.5
125.5128.0
Auto16.8
Teleop106.5
End10.9
Third
5052
#14
107.91.0
114.7113.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End3.1
red by 1.7
4799
#30
106.20.3
102.8103.1
Auto15.5
Teleop84.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed