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Red361
5526116.3
418151.9
5312119.8
Blue211
3366131.1
4610117.5
6800128.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132350100200400500361211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#8
151.93.5
135.2138.7
Auto19.2
Teleop125.1
End5.8
red by 20.8
3366
#22
131.11.3
133.3132.0
Auto18.1
Teleop99.6
End13.2
Second
5312
#16
119.82.3
109.9112.3
Auto16.3
Teleop95.9
End7.1
blue by 8.8
6800
#21
128.61.7
119.6121.2
Auto18.8
Teleop98.0
End11.2
Third
5526
#12
116.32.9
106.9109.8
Auto16.4
Teleop92.2
End9.1
blue by 1.1
4610
#35
117.50.5
117.1116.6
Auto15.7
Teleop88.4
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed